Hey guys. I thought I would share some new WINTER forecast thoughts going around the officials Let see..
========================================================
This is from Henry Margusity of Accuweather.com (One of the private forecasters)
COLD AND SNOWY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND GREAT LAKES. WARM ACROSS THE WEST, WARM AND DRY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. COLD SHOTS INTO THE PLAINS.
Discussion: There is no overall clear signal to this winter's weather. We are in a neutral phase of the ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) event, which neither the La Nina nor El Nino conditions will dominate. I guess one could say that the clear signal is no signal from any ENSO events. The winter forecast is primarily based on the neutral ENSO and pattern recognition from this summer's pattern and the early fall weather. We have seen the axis of the trough last winter over the western Mississippi Valley, but over the summer that axis has shifted into the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. We have also seen the extension of the tropical ridge across the Southeast and the Gulf of Mexico, which accounts for the hurricane tracks this year. I believe that ridge will break down and the winter jet, once it sets in, will tend to buckle over the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. We should also have a strong jet plowing into the Pacific Northwest, which will lead to frequent storms in the Pacific Northwest. The other storm tracks will be a clipper pattern that will bring snow from the Midwest to New England and a coastal storm track that will lead to at least one or two major snow events in the I-95 corridor.
Starting in the West: The overall weather will be warm and dry as the ridge position remains stationary. I don't see a lot of storms hitting California, which means a high fire danger later in the winter.
The Plains: While not all that snowy, there will be frequent shots of arctic air. These will be quick shots, lasting a day or so before the warm air returns. Freezing drizzle and freezing rain might be the dominant precipitation because low-level, cold air is in place.
The Southeast: I think the Southeast will end up on the warm and dry side. This will not be good news for the Southeast, but the reality of the pattern shaping up for the winter.
For snow lovers, the Great Lakes and Northeast is the place to be as clipper-type systems will bring small amounts of snow, but frequent snow events.
I think the I-95 corridor folks from Richmond to Boston could finally have the snowstorms they so wished for. I think at least one or two major nor'easters will hit that area with snow events in the 6- to 18-inch range.
Below are some of the current graphics drawn up from Accuweather.com...

========================================================
This graphic takes us to January 1st, 2009. This is the "official" Climate Prediction Center's 3 month forecast...

========================================================
Old Farmers Almanac Forecast
Ohio Valey:
Nov. 11-17: Showers, warm
Nov. 18-22: Sunny, mild
Nov. 23-30: Rain to snow, then snow showers, cold
North East:
Nov. 18-22: Sunny, seasonable
Nov. 23-24: Stormy, heavy rain
Nov. 25-30: Snowy periods, cold
East Cost:
Nov. 18-21: Sunny, cool
Nov. 22-24: Heavy rain, mild
Nov. 25-30: Showers and flurries, cool
Appalachian Area:
Nov. 21-23: Rain, mild
Nov. 24-26: Snow, cold
Nov. 27-30: Flurries, then sunny, chilly
Southeast:
Nov. 17-23: Rain, seasonable
Nov. 24-27: Sunny, then showers, cool
Nov. 28-30: Sunny, cool
Florida:
Nov. 11-15: Sunny, seasonable
Nov. 16-22: Scattered t-storms, warm
Nov. 23-30: T-storms, then sunny; cold nights
South:
Nov. 17-21: Sunny
Nov. 22-25: Rain, then sunny, cool
Nov. 26-30: Showers, then sunny, cool
Great Lakes:
Nov. 20-24: Sunny, warm
Nov. 25-26: Rain to snow
Nov. 27-30: Snow showers, col
Upper Midwest:
Nov. 19-22: Sunny, mild
Nov. 23-27: Showers, then flurries, turning cold
Nov. 28-30: Sunny, mild
America Heartland:
Nov. 13-16: T-storms, mild
Nov. 17-26: Sunny, seasonable
Nov. 27-30: Showers, then sunny, warm
Texas / Oklahoma:
Nov. 13-16: T-storms, warm
Nov. 17-21: Sunny north, t-storms south
Nov. 22-30: Sunny, cool
Plains:
Nov. 17-21: Showers, then sunny, mild
Nov. 22-25: Showers, then sunny, seasonable
Nov. 26-30: Sunny, warm
Southwest:
Nov. 9-15: Scattered t-storms, seasonable
Nov. 16-21: Sunny, seasonable
Nov. 22-30: Sunny, cool
Pacific Southwest:
Nov. 13-17: T-storms, cool
Nov. 18-25: Showers, cool inland; turning warm coast
Nov. 26-30: Fog, drizzle inland; sunny coast
Pacific Northwest:
Nov. 15-20: Rain, mild
Nov. 21-27: Sunny, cold
Nov. 28-30: Rain, seasonable
Alaska:
Nov. 18-20: Heavy snow Panhandle; flurries, cold elsewhere
Nov. 21-25: Rain, mild Panhandle; flurries, very cold elsewhere
Nov. 26-30: Rain Panhandle and Aleutians, snow showers elsewhere; mild
Hawaii:
Nov. 13-18: Sunny, seasonable
Nov. 19-28: Showers, then sunny, warm
Nov. 29-30: Showers, cool
If you don't know where you are.. use this map for assistance: